Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.249094 0.293552 0.340912 0.394842 0.454275 0.517508 0.589603
2024-10-13 0.184771 0.243772 0.311168 0.392737 0.487688 0.593689 0.719924
2024-10-20 0.140678 0.207566 0.289242 0.393671 0.521060 0.668981 0.851273
2024-10-27 0.112401 0.184776 0.278825 0.405049 0.565234 0.757283 1.000430
2024-11-03 0.091368 0.167107 0.271540 0.418001 0.610384 0.847354 1.154113
2024-11-10 0.074720 0.152102 0.265119 0.430201 0.653821 0.935812 1.307813
2024-11-17 0.056901 0.131357 0.247414 0.424541 0.672296 0.992255 1.422355
2024-11-24 0.045519 0.118414 0.238991 0.430178 0.704915 1.066736 1.560542
2024-12-01 0.034310 0.102804 0.223993 0.424256 0.720291 1.118066 1.669308
2024-12-08 0.024112 0.085889 0.204097 0.408541 0.720010 1.147367 1.748958
2024-12-15 0.019372 0.079135 0.200436 0.417201 0.754449 1.223824 1.891564
2024-12-22 0.013766 0.068045 0.187116 0.408831 0.762759 1.263865 1.985711
2024-12-29 0.011697 0.065796 0.190559 0.428837 0.815130 1.367634 2.169366
2025-01-05 0.008485 0.058531 0.182897 0.429219 0.837303 1.429220 2.296798
2025-01-12 0.006133 0.052589 0.176916 0.431805 0.862620 1.495533 2.431600
2025-01-19 0.004807 0.049634 0.176929 0.444903 0.904698 1.586599 2.601820
2025-01-26 0.003786 0.047226 0.177753 0.459315 0.949046 1.681516 2.778467
2025-02-02 0.002921 0.044796 0.178105 0.472697 0.991920 1.774861 2.954023
2025-02-09 0.001757 0.038928 0.168843 0.466893 1.002879 1.821040 3.063621
2025-02-16 0.001166 0.035771 0.165923 0.473045 1.033571 1.896818 3.215812
2025-02-23 0.000594 0.030898 0.157226 0.466813 1.042918 1.940429 3.322473
2025-03-02 0.000195 0.025072 0.144091 0.450090 1.033306 1.954671 3.386747
2025-03-09 0.000098 0.023409 0.143366 0.459367 1.068818 2.038221 3.551794